No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $33
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $7
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $13
Polymarket Trader
0xe0cc...c6cb
0xe0cc2fb4464750a6c0abf91525549f1e7797c6cb
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $108.55
- Realized PnL
- -$11.67
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $24.44
- Potential payout
- $27
- Potential profit
- $2.57
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $10.93
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $6.37
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $12.64
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$1.76
No position
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $14.03
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
No position
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $10.74
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.65
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.75
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
No position
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $8.97
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $1.49
Yes position
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $7
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.08
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $6.06
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.95
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $6.77
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $2.31
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $3.69
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $0.87
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.6%
- Current value
- $4.28
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.72
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $0.88
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.13
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.63
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.8%
- Current value
- $0.17
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.83
- Multiplier
- 5.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.7%
- Multiplier
- 2.10x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.91x
- User PnL
- -$1.41
No position
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$2.64
Yes position
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$8.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 86.8% 5 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 87.2% 6 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No 88% 7 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes 12% 10 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 96% 8 shares
- Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 18% 10 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 48.2% 31 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 51.8% 11 shares
- Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?No 83.2% 9 shares
- Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?No 74% 11 shares
- Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Yes 26% 19 shares
- Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?No 11% 15 shares