Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $50.29
- Potential payout
- $558.82
- Potential profit
- $508.53
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$59.71
Polymarket Trader
0xE0D8c5b48439e6C254bcf4a5a9d90DCAcffcA335-1760969193648
0xe0d8c5b48439e6c254bcf4a5a9d90dcacffca335
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $96.81
- Realized PnL
- $11.89
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $502.38
- Potential profit
- $502.38
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $256.41
- Potential profit
- $256.41
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on January 25?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200.12
- Potential profit
- $200.12
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $52.63
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will there be 14 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $52.63
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will there be 8-10 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.76
- Potential profit
- $48.76
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $46.51
- Potential payout
- $46.51
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $26.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 9PM ET
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.24
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 21?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.83
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes 3.5% 285.71 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 21?No 24% 49.28 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes 6% 83.33 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?Yes 1.5% 200 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 21?No 20.3% 49.29 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETUp 58% 17.24 shares
- Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Yes 19% 52.63 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?No 98.5% 37.31 shares
- Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?Yes 3.9% 256.41 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes 43% 46.51 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes 15% 133.33 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 20% 500 shares