No position
Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $6.28K
- Potential payout
- $6.32K
- Potential profit
- $41.1
- User PnL
- $25.38
Polymarket Trader
Dr.mett
0xe0dcc05376176f9f9e5160b9aae6f51e2ca93944
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $14.34K
- Realized PnL
- $9.35K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Meta acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $2.71K
- Potential payout
- $2.72K
- Potential profit
- $16.35
- User PnL
- $23.53
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $1.14K
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $17.93
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $94.41
No position
Will AppLovin acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $1.1K
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $6.65
- User PnL
- $8.56
No position
Will Amazon acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $667.54
- Potential payout
- $673.6
- Potential profit
- $6.06
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will Walmart acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $657.44
- Potential payout
- $663.74
- Potential profit
- $6.31
- User PnL
- $37.77
No position
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $330.2
- Potential payout
- $564.45
- Potential profit
- $234.25
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$91.34
No position
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $362.52
- Potential payout
- $421.53
- Potential profit
- $59.01
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $61.64
No position
Will Trump say "Buy Dell Computer / Buy a Dell Computer" in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $195.91
- Potential payout
- $231.85
- Potential profit
- $35.94
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $5.59
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $195.49
- Potential payout
- $226
- Potential profit
- $30.51
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $14.39
No position
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $145.98
- Potential payout
- $172.76
- Potential profit
- $26.78
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $77.61
No position
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.5m barrels per day in 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $126.86
- Potential payout
- $143.34
- Potential profit
- $16.48
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$1.72
Yes position
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.3%
- Current value
- $11.25
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $88.75
- Multiplier
- 8.89x
- User PnL
- -$14.75
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $86.65
- Potential payout
- $87.13
- Potential profit
- $0.48
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will Trump say "Hippo" or "Hippopotamus" in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $58.84
- Potential payout
- $70.89
- Potential profit
- $12.05
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$4.85
No position
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $50.1
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $9.9
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $9.3
No position
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $57.27
- Potential payout
- $59.32
- Potential profit
- $2.05
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $9.12
No position
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $57.79
- Potential payout
- $58.08
- Potential profit
- $0.29
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $7.96
- Potential payout
- $49.72
- Potential profit
- $41.77
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$9.01
No position
Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $44.3
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.8
No position
Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $17.26
- Potential payout
- $19.61
- Potential profit
- $2.35
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $3.14
No position
ECB rate cut in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $12.72
- Potential payout
- $15.51
- Potential profit
- $2.79
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $3.88
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $10.92
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $1.08
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $9.34
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.66
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Japan in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $844
Yes position
Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $631.2
Yes position
Will Metaplanet hold 20k+ BTC by August 31?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $599.86
Yes position
Bank of England rate cut in May meeting?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $531.1
Yes position
Will Iran strike Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $526.61
No position
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $489.33
Yes position
North Korea missile launch by November 15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $461.44
Yes position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $434.1
Yes position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $416.48
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $360.97
Yes position
North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $354.55
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $343.45
No position
Will the ECB announce no change?
Ends Apr 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $337.58
Yes position
Will Mamdani visit the White House by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $323.09
Yes position
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the July meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $306.67
Yes position
Assad leaves Syria before 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $306.08
Yes position
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 16?
Ends Nov 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $299.31
Yes position
Morgan McSweeney out as Starmer Chief of Staff by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $269
Yes position
North Korea missile launch by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $264.85
Yes position
Brown and MIT shooters confirmed to be same person?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $262.16
No position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $254.44
No position
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $248.01
Yes position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $247.78
No position
Will France win Group D?
Ends Jun 26, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $241.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?No 97.5% 30.5 shares
- Will Trump say "Hippo" or "Hippopotamus" in June?No 93.6% 23.28 shares
- Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 81.1% 24.41 shares
- Will Meta acquire TikTok?No 99% 20 shares
- Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 80% 12.38 shares
- Will Amazon acquire TikTok?No 99.1% 10 shares
- Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 80% 18.69 shares
- Will AppLovin acquire TikTok?No 99.2% 15 shares
- Will Trump say "Buy Dell Computer / Buy a Dell Computer" in June?No 85% 102.67 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?No 97.7% 101.18 shares
- Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?No 98.9% 99.99 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?No 98.6% 21.52 shares