Yes position
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $2.85
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $297.15
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$35.55
Polymarket Trader
lakenovass
0xe0e346267613baac0264062fd179638362c56677
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $30.82
- Realized PnL
- $10.34K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Tyler Kistner be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $2.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $197.7
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$26.44
No position
Mamdani team sweeps primaries?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.4
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.6
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$39.6
No position
Will Eric Pratt be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $6.7
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $193.3
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- -$33.3
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 24.7%
- Current value
- $18.17
- Potential payout
- $73.7
- Potential profit
- $55.53
- Multiplier
- 4.06x
- User PnL
- $15.22
Yes position
Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.19
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $21.81
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$3.55
Yes position
Will the Union for Central African Renewal win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $17.87
- Potential profit
- $17.69
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Y
Yes position
Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 5–10%?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.64
- Potential profit
- $7.63
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will Kwa Na Kwa win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $2.87
- Potential profit
- $2.83
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Y
Yes position
Will Antonio Reynoso win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by 5% or more?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.75
- Potential profit
- $1.75
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.91K
Yes position
Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
No position
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $427.5
Yes position
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $378.37
No position
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $306.99
No position
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $286
No position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231.9
No position
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $228.62
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $221
No position
Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $205.99
No position
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $200
No position
Will Russia enter Moskovka by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187
No position
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160
Yes position
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $153
No position
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $150
No position
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $144.2
No position
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.2
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.27
Yes position
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $129.3
Yes position
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $124
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.24
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $109.5
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $103.42
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?No 10% 300 shares
- Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?No 10% 200 shares
- Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?No 8% 300 shares
- Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?No 8% 200 shares
- Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Yes 10.6% 2,050.27 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?No 1% 200 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?No 1% 1,200 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 1.1% 200 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 1% 252 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 1.1% 1,500 shares
- Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?No 8% 200 shares
- Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?No 7.9% 300 shares