Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.6%
- Multiplier
- 2.66x
- User PnL
- $3.65
Polymarket Trader
Efrainabd4
0xe0f26c11505f65bbcce3b0ba8790d9f67bd085fe
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- -$6.24
- Win rate
- 35.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.66
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 90.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Global heat increase greater than 1.30°C for 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.6%
- Multiplier
- 2.66x
- User PnL
- $3.65
No position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.66
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 90.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Global heat increase greater than 1.30°C for 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.9%
- Multiplier
- 4.80x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.83
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 62.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$1.23
Heat position
Heat vs. Mavericks
Ends Feb 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.31
Boston College position
Notre Dame vs. Boston College
Ends Feb 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.76
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 24.2% 269 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 91.4% 308 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 91.4% 308 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 1.1% 169 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 1.1% 592 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 91.7% 307 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 91.6% 307 shares
- Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes 1.4% 284 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No 99% 284 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No 98.8% 284 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 62.3% 36.96 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 2.6% 559 shares