Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $121.87
- Potential payout
- $208.33
- Potential profit
- $86.46
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $21.88
Polymarket Trader
DIMAS005
0xe102ac9dfb966f2d226d05d22054e9d99ab026fb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $129.87
- Realized PnL
- $214.78
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $8
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $92
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 26-June 1?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.34
- Potential profit
- $14.34
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $8.33
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $6.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.4
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.42
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.61
Yes position
Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.4
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.19
Yes position
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.05
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.07
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.67
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.55
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.04
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.63
Yes position
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.36
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
No position
Taliban blackmail of D.C. shooter confirmed by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 48% 208.33 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 36% 175.43 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 57% 175.44 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 10% 100 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 1% 100 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 43% 110.61 shares
- MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 26-June 1?Yes 69.7% 14.34 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?No 99.8% 546.51 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 90.4% 110.62 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?No 91.2% 219.29 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?No 80.1% 325.85 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?No 83.7% 119.47 shares