No position
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $8K
- User PnL
- -$40
Polymarket Trader
Goldstein
0xe1112c4f3adceae0a40d919d23c60343e2bd0473
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $4.74K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.29K
- Potential profit
- $7.29K
- User PnL
- -$719.99
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.6K
- Potential profit
- $4.6K
- User PnL
- -$101.2
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.16K
- Potential profit
- $4.16K
- User PnL
- -$170
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.9K
- Potential profit
- $2.9K
- User PnL
- -$203
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.35K
- Potential profit
- $2.35K
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.2K
- User PnL
- -$19.99
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.13K
- Potential profit
- $2.13K
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$96
Yes position
Is Earth flat?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $629.67
- Potential profit
- $629.67
- User PnL
- -$15.74
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $545.3
- Potential profit
- $545.3
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$148
Ukraine position
Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $320
- Potential profit
- $320
- User PnL
- -$102.4
No position
US government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$36
Yes position
Will Trump end Department of Education in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
Yes position
US military action against Iran by Saturday?
Ends Jun 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $698.68
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $543.19
Yes position
Iran strike on Qatar today?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $440.47
Yes position
Israel military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $334.04
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.4
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.51
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.17
No position
Will Trump say 'AI' or 'artificial intelligence' during the 2025 State of the Union?
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.46
Yes position
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.99
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $75
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $68.03
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $66.67
Yes position
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.79
No position
Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $60.9
No position
Israel strike on Iran on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.29
No position
Next Israel x Hamas ceasefire in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.23
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.82
No position
Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $47.61
Yes position
US military action against Iran by Sunday?
Ends Jun 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.93
Yes position
Bitcoin above $94,000 on January 3?
Ends Jan 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.09
Yes position
Israel strike on Iran on June 24?
Ends Jun 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.3
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.83
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?No 1.9% 2,659.94 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes 98.4% 1,600 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes 10% 289.49 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Yes 3.8% 2,133.14 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?Yes 1.1% 5,624.23 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes 12% 833.33 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?Yes 0.9% 2,201.14 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Yes 7.6% 1,054.85 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Yes 10.9% 2,746.9 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Yes 11.1% 180.34 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Yes 11% 363.64 shares
- Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?No 0.5% 8,000 shares