Yes position
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $2.13
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $247.88
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$2.88
Polymarket Trader
0xE117253B49a17A1c1351a0D11EfF4443A265A848-1775499507961
0xe117253b49a17a1c1351a0d11eff4443a265a848
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $16.19
- Realized PnL
- $24.49
- Win rate
- 61.5%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Weed rescheduled by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $11.26
- Potential payout
- $47.92
- Potential profit
- $36.66
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $1.26
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $2.8
- Potential payout
- $15.15
- Potential profit
- $12.35
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.81
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.09
Yes position
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $1.52
No position
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.48
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Tucker Carlson arrested by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.78
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?Yes 2% 250 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 0.3% 333.33 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?No 6.5% 15.62 shares
- Tucker Carlson arrested by May 31?Yes 2.2% 10 shares
- Weed rescheduled by June 30?Yes 7% 50 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 22?Down 2.5% 36.88 shares
- Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Yes 16% 31.25 shares
- Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?Yes 83.5% 1.77 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 33% 15.15 shares
- Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?Yes 23% 21.74 shares
- Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 2% 250 shares
- Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Yes 30% 16.67 shares