Polymarket Trader

alpha.chen

@chenzhikuo

0xe11ab7e675ffc7136bb065ac13d0d9ba2247c40b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.14K
Realized PnL: $9.87K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $4.27K
Potential payout: $4.3K
Potential profit: $32.25
User PnL: $719.76

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $3.46K
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $36.75
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $537.25

Yes position

Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$184

Yes position

Will AMC Entertainment (AMC) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.15K
User PnL: -$956.54

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $982.1
Potential profit: $982.1
User PnL: -$798.61

Yes position

Will Powell Industries (POWL) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $851.1
Potential profit: $851.1
User PnL: -$777.5

Yes position

No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500.01
Potential profit: $500.01
User PnL: -$234.84

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $210
Potential profit: $210
User PnL: -$123.63

Yes position

Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $210
Potential profit: $210
User PnL: -$126.4

Yes position

Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 76.9%
Current value: $127.92
Potential payout: $166.45
Potential profit: $38.53
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: -$11.9

Yes position

Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $116.97
Potential payout: $120.96
Potential profit: $3.99
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $10.27

No position

Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $51.55
Potential payout: $59.94
Potential profit: $8.39
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $5.4

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $53.12
Potential payout: $58.7
Potential profit: $5.58
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $3.39

Yes position

Will Argentina's monthly inflation in June 2026 be between 2.4% and 2.6%?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.75
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$1.25

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $9.15
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.85
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will voter turnout be 60-64% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $9.87
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.13
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $4.87

Yes position

Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $9.1
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.9
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.36

Yes position

Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $3.8
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $6.2
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $3.5
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $6.5
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: $1.3

Yes position

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $8.35
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $1.65
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $6.35
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $3.65
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 23, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $9.4
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.6
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25K

Yes position

Will Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $799.23

Yes position

Will Mercantile Bank (MBWM) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $713.46

Yes position

Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $585.61

Yes position

Will Eli Lilly and Co (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $575.16

No position

Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $539

Yes position

Will General Dynamics (GD) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $447.02

No position

Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $428.65

Yes position

Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $399.3

No position

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $390.01

Yes position

Will Green Left win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $358.49

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $350.02

Yes position

Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $290.49

Yes position

Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $288.37

Yes position

Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $281.78

Yes position

Will Intel (INTC) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $278.38

Yes position

Will Dow (DOW) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $261.07

Yes position

Will BP (BP) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250.18

Yes position

Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $238.22

No position

Will the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $237.19

Yes position

Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $235.32

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.71

Yes position

Will Cintas (CTAS) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225.89

Yes position

Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $221.46

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 86% 200 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.9% 134.23 shares
Will Cyndi Munson win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?

Yes 50.2% 9 shares
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

No 99.9% 1,508.57 shares
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

No 76% 10.42 shares
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?

No 14.1% 122 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 6% 800 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 15% 132.34 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 15.1% 208 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Yes 0.6% 10 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 7% 1,500 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

No 50% 10 shares