Polymarket Trader

MartinPNZ

0xe1308bc3efbb67bb671fc8b0775d600c22ea4006

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $986.27
Realized PnL: $20.45K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$71.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $1.38K
User PnL: -$6.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $4.72
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $1.35K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $3.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $1.17K
User PnL: -$23.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.92
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $1.17K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$26.68

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $80.11
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.05K
Multiplier: 14.10x
User PnL: -$48.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $14.58
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$49.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.52
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$14.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $668.79
Potential payout: $962.42
Potential profit: $293.63
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $367.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $211.2
Potential payout: $959.98
Potential profit: $748.79
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$63.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $939.98
Potential profit: $939.98
User PnL: -$32.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.41
Potential payout: $819.98
Potential profit: $819.57
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.36
Potential payout: $720
Potential profit: $719.64
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $699.68
Potential profit: $699.68
User PnL: -$0.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $299.85
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.85

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $939.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $929.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $919.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $881.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $864.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $848.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $844.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $842.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $830.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $805.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $790.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $789.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $764.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $748.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $725.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $716.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $694.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $693.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $687.41

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $683.84

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 34% 80 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 48% 29.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 49% 60 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 48% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 0.8% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 42% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 42% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 43% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 40% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 0.4% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 1.3% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 38% 20 shares