Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $3.75
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Polymarket Trader
0xE13D4D790945fe1172755927aCe93535d2fe3828-1783360212821
0xe13d4d790945fe1172755927ace93535d2fe3828
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.75
- Realized PnL
- $22.18
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $128.43
- Potential profit
- $128.43
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.63
- Potential profit
- $63.63
- User PnL
- -$15.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.28
- Potential profit
- $21.28
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.25
- Potential profit
- $20.25
- User PnL
- -$12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.8
- Potential profit
- $9.8
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $5.88
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.76
- Potential profit
- $4.76
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $4.17
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $1.98
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $2.02
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $3.92
- Potential profit
- $3.9
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.45
- Potential profit
- $3.45
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETDown 50% 4 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETUp 51% 3.92 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETDown 94% 3.44 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETDown 58% 3.45 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETUp 46% 4.35 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ETUp 98% 2.35 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ETUp 85% 2.35 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETUp 43% 4.65 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETUp 51% 3.92 shares
- Julián Álvarez: 2+ shots on target AND Harry Kane: 2+ shots on target AND Lionel Messi: 2+ shots on target AND Jude Bellingham: 2+ shots on target2.8% 167.86 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETUp 88% 2.35 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETUp 85% 2.35 shares