Polymarket Trader

squirtl

0xe1403090cd935a23a10668242b964cb9afbd78d4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.11K
Realized PnL: $82.79K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.09K
Potential profit: $14.09K
User PnL: -$4.41K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.86K
Potential profit: $11.86K
User PnL: -$7K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $4.93K
Potential payout: $10.61K
Potential profit: $5.68K
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$67.14

Yes position

Will Mairead McGuinness win the Irish Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.13K
Potential profit: $10.13K
User PnL: -$5K

Yes position

Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.39K
Potential profit: $7.39K
User PnL: -$5.5K

Yes position

Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.36K
Potential profit: $7.36K
User PnL: -$1K

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.2K
Potential profit: $7.2K
User PnL: -$4.39K

No position

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $6K
User PnL: -$3.37K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $172.73
Potential payout: $4.55K
Potential profit: $4.37K
Multiplier: 26.32x
User PnL: -$327.27

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.69K
Potential profit: $2.69K
User PnL: -$1K

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.67K
Potential profit: $2.67K
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.61K
Potential profit: $2.61K
User PnL: -$825.8

No position

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.51K
Potential profit: $1.51K
User PnL: -$1K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.89K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.1K

Yes position

Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.34K

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.11K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.83K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.59K

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.44K

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2K

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.17K

No position

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.22K

No position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.03K

No position

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.82K

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45K

No position

Will Russia capture Yunakivka before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.16K

No position

Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76K

No position

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.69K

No position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67K

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38K

No position

Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by May 31?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32K

No position

Another US military action against Iran before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

Yes position

Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?

Ends May 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $929.36

No position

Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $725.86

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

No 99.4% 10,000.16 shares
Will Trump visit China by April 30?

No 98.7% 2,710.09 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

No 61% 7,195.19 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 11% 4,545.45 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 47.1% 10,608.28 shares
GPT ads by March 31?

No 4.6% 2,181.07 shares
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Yes 37.1% 2,692.7 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

No 59% 11,864.41 shares
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Yes 13.6% 7,362.27 shares
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

No 66% 1,514.81 shares
Will Trump visit China by April 30?

No 36.9% 2,710.09 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

No 57.4% 10,000.16 shares