Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $225.41
- Potential profit
- $225.41
- User PnL
- -$199.48
Polymarket Trader
carzywater
0xe163fabd687792591dbda35cc3e96b7a912d0ce3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $113.92
- Realized PnL
- $825.09
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Solana Up or Down - January 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $141.28
- Potential profit
- $141.28
- User PnL
- -$98.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130.95
- Potential profit
- $130.95
- User PnL
- -$110
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $124.53
- Potential profit
- $124.53
- User PnL
- -$106.92
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120.06
- Potential profit
- $120.06
- User PnL
- -$99.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105.2
- Potential profit
- $105.2
- User PnL
- -$99.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85.48
- Potential profit
- $85.48
- User PnL
- -$54.71
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $51.44
- Potential payout
- $51.49
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $17.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $37.03
- Potential payout
- $37.07
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $2.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.9%
- Current value
- $15.31
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $1.36
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.31
Timberwolves position
Warriors vs. Timberwolves
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.15
- Potential profit
- $15.15
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $10.14
- Potential payout
- $10.2
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $0.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.58
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.62
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.85
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.22
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.37
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.89
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.89
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.7
Down position
Solana Up or Down - January 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 7?Yes 76.2% 17.02 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on July 7?Yes 98% 10.2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on July 7?Yes 90% 16.67 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 7?Yes 95% 26.32 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETDown 97% 48.45 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETDown 99% 14 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 7?Yes 93% 10.75 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 7?Yes 61.6% 19.47 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 7?Yes 58.7% 15 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Yes 56.3% 37.8 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Yes 58.2% 37.8 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETUp 91% 21.98 shares