No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $2.57K
- Potential payout
- $3.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $638.78
Polymarket Trader
0xe172412ca65dD142Ff035630cc2945ADeC8D248A-1764747516771
0xe172412ca65dd142ff035630cc2945adec8d248a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.98K
- Realized PnL
- $4.46K
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $132.95
- Potential payout
- $2.95K
- Potential profit
- $2.82K
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$107.04
Yes position
Will Claude go down 3-5 times in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $4.88
- Potential payout
- $424.24
- Potential profit
- $419.36
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$20.72
Yes position
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $101.56
- Potential payout
- $338.54
- Potential profit
- $236.98
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- $39.56
Yes position
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $170.9
- Potential payout
- $307.94
- Potential profit
- $137.03
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $107.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $815.2
Yes position
Will Claude go down 11+ times in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $396.15
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $368.78
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $342.14
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $296.97
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $254.9
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.59
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.74
Yes position
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.41
Yes position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.24
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.12
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.1
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $45.88
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.04
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.32
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.22
Yes position
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.35
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.77
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude go down 3-5 times in June?Yes 5.1% 196.38 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No 38.2% 1,234.6 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 59.3% 1,016.93 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 61.2% 384.03 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes 17% 952.38 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Yes 9.8% 370.79 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 79% 632.91 shares
- Will Claude go down 9-11 times in June?Yes 13.9% 229.89 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No 57.8% 3,457.85 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Yes 28% 370.78 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Yes 29% 277.93 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Yes 27.4% 200 shares