No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $9.41K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $595.04
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $246.18
Polymarket Trader
0xE17D
0xe17d61402bafaf958a2f330782d5fa5ecb997c1a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $14.97K
- Realized PnL
- $26.07
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.1%
- Current value
- $2.76K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $237
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $212.57
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$1.1
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $997.24
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $17.76
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $33.82
No position
Will Trump publicly insult Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $985.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $14.5
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $36.21
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $663.56
- Potential payout
- $687.63
- Potential profit
- $24.07
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $10.49
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $601.19
- Potential profit
- $601.19
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $414.83
- Potential profit
- $414.83
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $183
- Potential profit
- $183
- User PnL
- -$1.1
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mohammed bin Salman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $158.94
- Potential payout
- $161.28
- Potential profit
- $2.34
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $5.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C or higher on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $136.8
- Potential profit
- $136.8
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Down position
XRP Up or Down - March 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.29
- Potential profit
- $2.29
- User PnL
- -$1.99
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.61
- Potential profit
- $1.61
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Down position
XRP Up or Down - March 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.58
- Potential profit
- $1.58
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Up position
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.58
- Potential profit
- $1.58
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.56
- Potential profit
- $1.56
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.16
- Potential profit
- $1.16
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 11?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13
Yes position
Will MrBeast's latest video get 18–20 million views on day 1?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.46
Yes position
Will Claude 5 not be released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Up position
XRP Up or Down - March 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Down position
XRP Up or Down - March 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Down position
XRP Up or Down - March 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Down position
XRP Up or Down - March 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Up position
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Up position
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Down position
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Down position
XRP Up or Down - March 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Up position
XRP Up or Down - March 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Up position
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by June 30, 2026?No 94.9% 99.02 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by June 30, 2026?No 89.5% 15 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mohammed bin Salman by June 30, 2026?No 95% 161.28 shares
- Will Trump publicly insult Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday?No 94.9% 1,000 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 85% 3,000 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No 87% 23 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No 87% 57.5 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?No 99.9% 10.01 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No 99.1% 2,522.11 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 88.8% 17.84 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 88.3% 999.01 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 87.1% 1,000 shares