Yes position
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $170K
- Potential profit
- $170K
- User PnL
- -$299.88
Polymarket Trader
Yupionso
0xe17fa5edc82fce7f948037b4c865ae63406a9d41
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $831.37
- Realized PnL
- $15K
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5K
- Potential profit
- $62.5K
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17K
- Potential profit
- $17K
- User PnL
- -$999.98
Yes position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.06K
- Potential profit
- $11.06K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $32.11
- Potential payout
- $7.13K
- Potential profit
- $7.1K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$467.32
Yes position
Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.78K
- Potential profit
- $5.78K
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.76K
- Potential profit
- $5.76K
- User PnL
- -$99.91
Yes position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $13.08
- Potential payout
- $4.36K
- Potential profit
- $4.35K
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$286.92
Yes position
Will any European country expel an Israeli ambassador by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.08K
- Potential profit
- $4.08K
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.97K
- Potential profit
- $2.97K
- User PnL
- -$175.73
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $279.41
- Potential payout
- $2.94K
- Potential profit
- $2.66K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$220.59
Yes position
Will Trump say "Khamenei" this week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.94K
- Potential profit
- $2.94K
- User PnL
- -$499.99
Yes position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.52K
- Potential profit
- $2.52K
- User PnL
- -$220.4
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.38K
- Potential profit
- $2.38K
- User PnL
- -$400
Yes position
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $108.18
- Potential payout
- $2.28K
- Potential profit
- $2.17K
- Multiplier
- 21.05x
- User PnL
- -$1.81
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.2K
- User PnL
- -$99.78
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $238.24
- Potential payout
- $1.76K
- Potential profit
- $1.53K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$361.76
Yes position
House passes Massie-Khanna war powers resolution by March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.52K
- Potential profit
- $1.52K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $1.28K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $106.25
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$93.75
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the World Economic Forum?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- User PnL
- -$80.95
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $9.96
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$290.04
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $44.15
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$55.85
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.34K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $469.8
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $455.56
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $426.32
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $338.18
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.95
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216.21
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.71
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.23
Yes position
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $149.63
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $118.18
Yes position
India x Pakistan ceasefire announced before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.97
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.07
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.92
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$10.53
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.67
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$28.59
Yes position
Les Wexner charged by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Multiplier
- 22.99x
- User PnL
- -$28.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$49.99
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$80.83
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?Yes 4.8% 2,277.57 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.8% 62,500 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 1 above $195?No 28.4% 1,057.85 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 1 above $185?No 14.5% 756.6 shares
- NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 1?Down 47.9% 208.61 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 52% 192.31 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 9.4% 1,063.83 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 34% 588.24 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No 91% 425.53 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?Yes 0.8% 1,278.8 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 72% 303.03 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?No 86% 1,090.9 shares