Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$7.63
Polymarket Trader
Tanxuan-poker
0xe196c85512f6999f24fdbcc8e13d8f67c38cb2b8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $22.07
- Realized PnL
- $1.53K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $3.27
- Potential payout
- $725.63
- Potential profit
- $722.36
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $550.06
- Potential profit
- $549.23
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.82
- Potential payout
- $545.92
- Potential profit
- $545.1
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.76
- Potential payout
- $505
- Potential profit
- $504.24
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.76
- Potential payout
- $504.99
- Potential profit
- $504.24
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.08
Yes position
Will Meta have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $504.99
- Potential profit
- $504.74
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.42
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.22
- Potential payout
- $443.15
- Potential profit
- $442.93
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$10.22
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.61
- Potential payout
- $408.74
- Potential profit
- $408.12
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$3.05
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.6
- Potential payout
- $400.09
- Potential profit
- $399.49
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.51
- Potential payout
- $336.68
- Potential profit
- $336.17
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.12
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $10 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.34
- Potential payout
- $336.67
- Potential profit
- $336.33
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $2.48
- Potential payout
- $291.67
- Potential profit
- $289.19
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$1.44
Yes position
Will a player representing Scotland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $252.5
- Potential profit
- $252.38
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.16
Yes position
Will Matteo Berrettini be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $2.35
- Potential payout
- $223.94
- Potential profit
- $221.59
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $0.81
Yes position
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.31
- Potential payout
- $209.86
- Potential profit
- $209.54
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.82
Yes position
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.31
- Potential payout
- $208.29
- Potential profit
- $207.98
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.38
Yes position
Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $203.74
- Potential profit
- $203.63
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $1.52
- Potential payout
- $202.02
- Potential profit
- $200.5
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $202.01
- Potential profit
- $201.9
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Yes position
Will DR Congo win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.48
- Potential payout
- $191.01
- Potential profit
- $190.53
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.28
- Potential payout
- $185.83
- Potential profit
- $185.55
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $2.81
- Potential payout
- $181.04
- Potential profit
- $178.23
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $2.25
- Potential payout
- $166.99
- Potential profit
- $164.74
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.28
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.48
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.36
Yes position
Will Chile win on 2026-06-09?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.48
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.46
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 3?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.24
Yes position
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C or below on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.49
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.41
Yes position
Will XRP dip to $1.10 June 1-7?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.86
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.57
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.44
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C or higher on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.67
Yes position
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-09?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.81
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during Wisconsin events?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 0.7% 150 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 1.2% 82 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 8.3% 5 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 1.6% 63.13 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 11% 5 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 13.6% 5 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 0.1% 91.73 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 0.4% 41.39 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 0.1% 137.6 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 0.2% 11.58 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 2.7% 5 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 0.4% 39.33 shares