Polymarket Trader

AndresRS

0xe1af0c325ceb3cdd95302896dfbd9f089629171a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $123.7
Realized PnL: $89.07
Win rate: 57.1%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Stripe’s market cap be less than $80B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $2.03K
Potential profit: $2.02K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$18.99

Yes position

Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $165B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $12.6
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $107.4
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$5.4

Yes position

Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $9B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $78.92
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$7.32

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.24
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $79.76
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$18.96

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$22.8

Yes position

Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $10.75B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $69.99
Potential payout: $69.99
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $32.2

No position

Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$3.1

Kings position

Avalanche vs. Kings

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.77
Potential profit: $39.77
User PnL: -$9.55

Nuggets position

Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.44
Potential profit: $39.44
User PnL: -$2.56

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.92
Potential profit: $38.92
User PnL: -$3.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $36.38
Potential payout: $36.38
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $21.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.62
Potential profit: $21.62
User PnL: -$10.6

No position

Trump kiss by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$3.4

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$2.55

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.43
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $13.58
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$1.27

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$3.08

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$3.9

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.27
Potential profit: $14.27
User PnL: -$4.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.04
Potential profit: $14.04
User PnL: -$9.78

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.87
Potential profit: $10.87
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $9B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $0.42
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.58
Multiplier: 23.81x
User PnL: -$1.08

No position

Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $172.5B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.1

Yes position

Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $0.56
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.44
Multiplier: 17.86x
User PnL: -$0.74

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.14

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.83

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

Burruchaga/Tirante position

Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Gonzalez/Gonzalez vs Burruchaga/Tirante

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.34

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Enhanced Games: Fred Kerley 100m Sprint Time Under 9.76?

Yes 29% 10 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Yes 4% 30 shares
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Yes 2.5% 23.8 shares
Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Yes 46% 10.87 shares
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?

Yes 40% 10 shares
Will Stripe’s market cap be less than $80B at market close on IPO day?

Yes 1% 2,025.84 shares
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx

Casper Ruud 42% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Yes 42% 23.81 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Yes 0.6% 50 shares
Avalanche vs. Kings

Kings 24% 9.77 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Yes 29% 10 shares
Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)

Nuggets 7% 9.72 shares