Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $41.19
- Potential payout
- $47.62
- Potential profit
- $6.43
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $1.19
Polymarket Trader
HOPELE
0xe1baac849819a148273a0a817c616817d53e2b93
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $83.03
- Realized PnL
- $27.87
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $41.84
- Potential payout
- $42.28
- Potential profit
- $0.44
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.84
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.74
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.36
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.87
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.45
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.7%
- Multiplier
- 6.01x
- User PnL
- $2.78
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.78
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.29
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 16, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$1.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 84% 47.62 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 94.6% 42.28 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 69.5% 115.07 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETUp 73% 21.56 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETUp 44% 11.36 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETUp 49% 10.2 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 47% 50 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 48% 50 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 35% 150 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 36% 150 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETDown 49% 10.41 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETDown 48% 10.42 shares