Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $5.09
- Potential payout
- $40.72
- Potential profit
- $35.63
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.64
Polymarket Trader
mmarmot
0xe1bb0daa8a3b7193af03ddaeca6b30161991e731
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $73.25
- Realized PnL
- -$9.05
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $20.8
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $19.2
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $12.4
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $27.6
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- $8.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $2.12
- Potential payout
- $24.99
- Potential profit
- $22.87
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$4.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $17.28
- Potential payout
- $19.98
- Potential profit
- $2.7
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $2.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $10.64
- Potential payout
- $14.98
- Potential profit
- $4.35
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $4.91
- Potential payout
- $9.45
- Potential profit
- $4.54
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $1.42
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $7.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$3.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$6.8
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Polymarket update