Polymarket Trader

xe4x

@FrrferF400

0xe1bcff1ee69f34a846e784bd7f0c960a97a8b666

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $10.26
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.8
Potential profit: $22.8
User PnL: -$10.49

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.57
Potential profit: $6.57
User PnL: -$2.76

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.12
Potential profit: $6.12
User PnL: -$2.63

Suns position

Suns vs. Hornets

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.13
Potential profit: $5.13
User PnL: -$1.79

Yes position

Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.97
Potential profit: $4.97
User PnL: -$1.54

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.7
Potential profit: $2.7
User PnL: -$1

Cavaliers position

Pistons vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.63
Potential profit: $2.63
User PnL: -$1.63

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Hornets

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.59
Potential profit: $1.59
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.59

Sabres position

Sabres vs. Kings

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26

No position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.98

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

Rockets position

Rockets vs. Pacers

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

Thunder position

Nuggets vs. Thunder

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 70% 3.29 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

No 33% 5.18 shares
Pistons vs. Cavaliers

Cavaliers 62% 2.63 shares
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

No 59.3% 2.41 shares
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Yes 31% 4.97 shares
Suns vs. Hornets

Suns 35% 5.13 shares
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 0.5% 500 shares
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 0.2% 999.1 shares
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 0.3% 900 shares
Sabres vs. Kings

Sabres 54% 2.74 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 14?

No 73% 2.02 shares
Nuggets vs. Thunder

Thunder 71.9% 1.46 shares