Polymarket Trader

Risky-MooLa

0xe1d2f456a0bc188cb67615395a3e9a153a8e0ecf

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.39K
Realized PnL: $3K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $1.07K
User PnL: -$6.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $787.5
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $112.5
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $598.5
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $1.5
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $520
Potential profit: $519.74
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$27.11

Yes position

Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $520
Potential profit: $519.74
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$27.11

Yes position

Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $520
Potential profit: $519.74
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$27.11

Yes position

Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $520
Potential profit: $519.74
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$27.11

Yes position

Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $520
Potential profit: $519.74
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$27.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or higher on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $460
Potential profit: $459.77
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$23.98

Yes position

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $399.8
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$14.09

Yes position

Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $399.8
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$14.09

Yes position

Will Comcast close Warner Bros acquisition?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $399.39
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $396
Potential profit: $396
User PnL: -$7.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $389.2
Potential profit: $389.2
User PnL: -$3.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $368
Potential profit: $368
User PnL: -$1.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $360
Potential profit: $360
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$4.94

Yes position

Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $299.85
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$10.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$0.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: $232.63

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $211.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $199.58

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: $185.71

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $185.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on February 26?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 27?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on March 28?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $102.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C or below on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or below on March 8?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.2

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 70% and 75%?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.2

No position

Will Trump say "Karoline Leavitt" during Women's History Month event?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $76.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C or higher on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.76

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 20?

No 99.9% 18.05 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 20?

No 99.7% 100 shares
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C on June 20?

No 99.9% 50.05 shares
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C on June 20?

No 99.9% 50.05 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 20?

No 99.9% 46.6 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 20?

No 99.8% 50.1 shares
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on June 20?

No 99.9% 50.05 shares
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on June 20?

No 99.9% 50.05 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 20?

No 99.8% 50.1 shares
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on June 19?

No 99.9% 50.05 shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 19?

No 99.9% 50.05 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 20?

No 99.9% 50.05 shares