No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.2%
- Current value
- $203K
- Potential payout
- $232.93K
- Potential profit
- $29.93K
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$4.92K
Polymarket Trader
loliti
0xe1e105257812992f0b9aba92a17e33f36e89d250
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $313.66K
- Realized PnL
- -$71.98K
- Win rate
- 38.9%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $92.03K
- Potential payout
- $96.77K
- Potential profit
- $4.74K
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $96.77
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $87.05K
- Potential profit
- $87.05K
- User PnL
- -$33.43K
Iraq position
Spread: Norway (-1.5)
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$8K
Iraq position
Spread: Norway (-2.5)
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.82K
- Potential profit
- $10.82K
- User PnL
- -$6.93K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $8.06K
- Potential payout
- $8.11K
- Potential profit
- $52.72
- User PnL
- $198.72
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $5.67K
- Potential payout
- $6.59K
- Potential profit
- $922.23
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $131.75
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $2.36K
- Potential payout
- $2.93K
- Potential profit
- $572.15
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $240.57
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $2.16K
- Potential payout
- $2.36K
- Potential profit
- $200.43
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $11.79
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.65K
- Potential profit
- $1.65K
- User PnL
- -$411.8
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $271.75
- Potential payout
- $283.22
- Potential profit
- $11.47
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $4.96
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $95.07
- Potential payout
- $97.66
- Potential profit
- $2.59
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.63
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.59
- Potential profit
- $41.59
- User PnL
- -$12.89
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $20.8
- Potential payout
- $21.52
- Potential profit
- $0.72
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $6.09
- Potential payout
- $6.38
- Potential profit
- $0.29
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.1K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $6.28K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $2.17K
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $719.35
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $361.13
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $36.02
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $8.48
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$29.26
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- -$654.19
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$8.98K
Under position
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.4K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$71.6K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 95% 46,768.67 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No 99.8% 61,388.21 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?No 99.4% 1,880.04 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No 98.8% 7,399.74 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?Yes 34.4% 6,946.93 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?Yes 33.5% 1,993.84 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?Yes 44.4% 7,757.08 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?Yes 45% 4,499.99 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?Yes 48.1% 6,500 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?Yes 44% 3,358.44 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?Yes 47.2% 1,814.17 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?Yes 46.6% 6,455.6 shares