Polymarket Trader

JohnFlores2147

@ArthurGled49514

0xe1f67d0038506588b7ba291fcaf6900da924595c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.26K
Realized PnL: $4.61K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $486.42
Potential payout: $804
Potential profit: $317.58
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $180.9

HC Sochi position

KHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. HC Sochi

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $734
Potential payout: $734
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $378.74

Texas A&M Aggies position

Texas A&M Aggies vs. Alabama Crimson Tide

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $681
Potential profit: $681
User PnL: -$74.91

Yes position

Will more than 350 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $641
Potential profit: $641
User PnL: -$83.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $624
Potential profit: $624
User PnL: -$305.76

Yes position

Revolut IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $39.91
Potential payout: $614
Potential profit: $574.09
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$33.77

No position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $557
Potential profit: $557
User PnL: -$228.37

No position

Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $545
Potential payout: $545
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.54

No position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $478
Potential profit: $478
User PnL: -$133.84

Yes position

Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $463
Potential profit: $463
User PnL: -$74.08

Yes position

Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $450
User PnL: -$189

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399
Potential profit: $399
User PnL: -$275.31

Under position

Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 142.5

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $382
Potential profit: $382
User PnL: -$129.88

Jacksonville State Gamecocks position

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $366
Potential payout: $366
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $55.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $295
Potential profit: $295
User PnL: -$59

Yes position

Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $268
Potential profit: $268
User PnL: -$37.52

Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils position

Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Southern Jaguars

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $249
Potential profit: $249
User PnL: -$29.88

Yes position

New pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $20.07
Potential payout: $223
Potential profit: $202.93
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$6.69

Over position

Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131
Potential profit: $131
User PnL: -$112.66

No position

Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128
Potential profit: $128
User PnL: -$37.12

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97
Potential profit: $97
User PnL: -$10.67

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86
Potential profit: $86
User PnL: -$44.72

No position

Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $72.93
Potential payout: $78
Potential profit: $5.07
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $6.63

Yes position

Kraken IPO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72
Potential profit: $72
User PnL: -$1.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump post "Lawsuit" on Truth Social this week?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $824.72

Yes position

Will Vila Nova FC win on 2026-04-18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $637.56

Yes position

Will "Virgin River: Season 7" be the top US Netflix show this week?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $593.66

Up position

Solana Up or Down - February 15, 11PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $288

No position

Will Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during the next press briefing?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $275.72

Yes position

Will Ethena dip to $0.08 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $271.08

No position

Will Keir Starmer say "Denmark" or "Greenland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $260.82

Yes position

Will Vitality make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $242.64

Under position

Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.6

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 26 be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.2

Up position

Solana Up or Down - February 21, 8PM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.65

Yes position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: $101.75

Yes position

Will the Social Democrats win 40-44 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $83.9

Yes position

Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.06

Yes position

Cam Spencer: Assists Over 8.5

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.26

Yes position

Will Khamenei tweet again on March 18, 2026?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.44

No position

Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $53.35

No position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 21 be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $53.03

Yes position

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75%?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.7

Yes position

Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.2

Yes position

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $46.28

No position

Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.2

Yes position

Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: $39.3

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36.18

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Revolut IPO before 2027?

Yes 6% 21 shares
Revolut IPO before 2027?

Yes 6% 171 shares
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?

No 41% 557 shares
KHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. HC Sochi

HC Sochi 48.4% 734 shares
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

No 38% 804 shares
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

No 87% 1,416 shares
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-04-17?

No 52% 72 shares
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-04-17?

No 58% 72 shares
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

No 87% 1,416 shares
Will Tyler1 shave his head by June 1, 2026?

No 31% 130 shares
Will Tyler1 shave his head by June 1, 2026?

No 32% 458 shares
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?

No 80% 638 shares