Yes position
Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $286.88
- Potential payout
- $675
- Potential profit
- $388.13
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $172.13
Polymarket Trader
PatriciaMorse1608
@SatreCh92691677
0xe1ff6d4309f1caca5f3fd9bdf85d00eaab18986c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $302.02
- Realized PnL
- $1.34K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $13.16
- Potential payout
- $56
- Potential profit
- $42.84
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$3.64
Yes position
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $1.7
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.3
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $0.28
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $1.72
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Leavitt say "China" during the next White House press briefing?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $302.1
No position
Will "Babydoll - Dominic Fike" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.69
Yes position
Will Trump post "Autopen" or "Auto pen" on Truth Social this week? (March 8)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.5
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Green" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $117.15
Yes position
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $115.35
Yes position
Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.32
No position
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.67
Yes position
Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- $58.38
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.48
Up position
XRP Up or Down - February 17, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.38
Yes position
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.6
No position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $19.15
Yes position
Will Intercontinental Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.1
Israel position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $18.06
No position
Stefon Diggs arrested by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.94
Yes position
Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.44
Yes position
Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.14
Yes position
Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.63
Yes position
Will "Frankenstein" win Best Production Design at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.68
Yes position
Will CD Tolima win on 2026-04-18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.81
Yes position
Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.6
No position
Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.99
Yes position
Will Mayhem (Lady Gaga) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.17
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $3.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No 87% 229 shares
- Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No 86% 96 shares
- Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No 86% 114 shares
- Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No 86% 123 shares
- Will Leavitt say "China" during the next White House press briefing?No 43% 530 shares
- Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 68% 144 shares
- Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?No 88% 147 shares
- Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?No 88% 153 shares
- Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?No 88% 199 shares
- Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 68% 144 shares
- Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No 83% 220 shares
- Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No 83% 782 shares