Polymarket Trader

0xe203...dd7e

0xe203d66ceb5deb16c3cc49073fb8e4e9d04bdd7e

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $8.74
Realized PnL: $120.07
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $63.28
Potential profit: $63.13
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$4.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.92
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $49.9
Potential profit: $49.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $49.84
Potential profit: $49.82
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $5.54
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $30.18
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 13.6%
Current value: $1.29
Potential payout: $9.45
Potential profit: $8.17
Multiplier: 7.35x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $8
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.99
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $1.62
Potential payout: $2.86
Potential profit: $1.25
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $0.56

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $56.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $14.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.14

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.32

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.71

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3AM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4AM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.04

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.28

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.61

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.89

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 4?

Yes 99.8% 17.64 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 5?

Yes 14% 35.71 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 4?

Yes 1% 83.33 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 4?

Yes 18% 5.83 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 4?

Yes 20% 5.25 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 4?

Yes 16% 6.56 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 5?

Yes 11% 9.45 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 4?

Yes 0.1% 49.9 shares
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 5?

Yes 37% 2.86 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Down 5% 44 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

Down 27% 23.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

Down 27% 24.56 shares