No position
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $6.22
- Potential payout
- $6.23
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0
Polymarket Trader
pophat
0xe209f36324160d82bc7a8e20e8131909dcc639c2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.67
- Realized PnL
- $25.57
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.68
- Potential payout
- $2.68
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.77
- Potential payout
- $1.95
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.19
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.74
No position
Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59
Yes position
Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will XRP reach $3.60 in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $78,000 on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on February 2?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on January 23?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
Yes position
Will four SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach outer space in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will Sam Altman take equity in OpenAI in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on November 6?
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?No 99.8% 6.23 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,100 on June 15?No 99.9% 101.06 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 5?No 99.9% 105.32 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?Yes 99.6% 244.89 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?Yes 99.9% 243.93 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 99% 3.16 shares
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 in May?No 97.6% 4.94 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 12?No 99.9% 248.84 shares
- Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $300 in May?No 98.9% 6.95 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?No 97.2% 3.59 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May?No 99.3% 2.36 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 28?No 99.9% 239.94 shares