Polymarket Trader

61sfds

0xe20afab92a813e87a5e54b5afeca24e6d77bd74f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $41.84
Realized PnL: $5.61
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.47
Potential payout: $474.75
Potential profit: $474.27
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$1.23

Yes position

Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $409.28
Potential profit: $409.28
User PnL: -$1.32

Yes position

Will Team Liquid win MSI 2026?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $269.68
Potential profit: $269.28
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $185.18
Potential profit: $182.68
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $0.88

No position

Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $175.3
Potential profit: $175.3
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Will Germany (10) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $171
Potential profit: $171
User PnL: -$0.54

No position

Will there be 5+ VAR decisions overturned during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $155.7
Potential profit: $155.7
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $3.79
Potential payout: $111.45
Potential profit: $107.66
Multiplier: 29.41x
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will Haiti record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.02
Potential profit: $73.02
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.47
Potential payout: $71.66
Potential profit: $71.19
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $1.84
Potential payout: $63.48
Potential profit: $61.64
Multiplier: 34.48x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will keiko win the Masters London MVP

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 22.4%
Current value: $10.45
Potential payout: $46.64
Potential profit: $36.19
Multiplier: 4.46x
User PnL: $10.15

Yes position

Will leaf win the Masters London MVP

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 22.6%
Current value: $10.33
Potential payout: $45.7
Potential profit: $35.37
Multiplier: 4.42x
User PnL: $10.06

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $41.1
Potential profit: $40.07
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Rafael Leao join Inter Milan?

Ends Sep 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $36.28
Potential profit: $36.19
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will there be 15+ VAR decisions overturned during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $2.26
Potential payout: $36.2
Potential profit: $33.94
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $29.34
Potential profit: $29.15
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will there be 25+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.41
Potential payout: $29.2
Potential profit: $28.79
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Panama be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $27.58
Potential profit: $27.46
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Micron Technology (MU) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $0.52
Potential payout: $27.12
Potential profit: $26.61
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: -$0.31

No position

Will Paychex (PAYX) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $5.31
Potential payout: $26.55
Potential profit: $21.24
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: $2.73

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 4.1% in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $25.69
Potential profit: $25
Multiplier: 37.04x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $22.42
Potential profit: $21.87
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.0%?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $0.42
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $21.8
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: -$1.52

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 145m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: $3.09

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0.89

No position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $0.83

Yes position

Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 30?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: $0.66

Yes position

Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will FURIA win MSI 2026?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Noble launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 29.5%
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Czechia record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will South Africa record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Recep Tayyip Erdogan sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Argentina's monthly inflation in June 2026 be at least 3.6%?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$0.13

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

No 2.2% 25.8 shares
Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 8% 20 shares
Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 37% 5 shares
Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 12% 16.4 shares
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?

Yes 29.2% 0.91 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

No 1.7% 13.6 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

No 1.8% 20 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

No 2.1% 19.1 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

No 1.7% 0.44 shares
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

Yes 1.8% 2 shares
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

Yes 1.8% 5 shares
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

Yes 1.8% 5 shares