Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.89
- Potential payout
- $71
- Potential profit
- $70.11
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Polymarket Trader
tweetmaster
0xe215f8fd83e3cff0c11262c14fdf9ba1862c1c22
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $35.36
- Realized PnL
- $89.68
- Win rate
- 68.8%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $1.46
- Potential payout
- $71
- Potential profit
- $69.54
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $1.46
- Potential payout
- $71
- Potential profit
- $69.54
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $1.12
- Potential payout
- $68
- Potential profit
- $66.88
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $0.82
- Potential payout
- $68
- Potential profit
- $67.18
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
Yes position
Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $1.46
- Potential payout
- $65
- Potential profit
- $63.54
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.49
- Potential payout
- $65
- Potential profit
- $64.51
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $1.76
- Potential payout
- $63
- Potential profit
- $61.24
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
Ends Jun 6, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $58.95
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $1.47
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $58.53
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Hasan Piker arrested by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $1.44
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $58.56
- Multiplier
- 41.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Is Earth flat?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $1.47
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $58.53
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Carmel Sepuloni be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?
Ends Nov 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $1.44
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $58.56
- Multiplier
- 41.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $1.65
- Potential payout
- $58
- Potential profit
- $56.35
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $1.83
- Potential payout
- $58
- Potential profit
- $56.17
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $1.2
- Potential payout
- $56
- Potential profit
- $54.8
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54
- Potential profit
- $54
- User PnL
- -$1.51
Yes position
Will Marshawn Lynch buy the Seattle Seahawks?
Ends Sep 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $1.51
- Potential payout
- $54
- Potential profit
- $52.49
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.4
- Potential payout
- $54
- Potential profit
- $53.6
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.11
Yes position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $1.27
- Potential payout
- $52
- Potential profit
- $50.73
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Human moon landing in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $1.48
- Potential payout
- $52
- Potential profit
- $50.52
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Y
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $0.73
- Potential payout
- $52
- Potential profit
- $51.27
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Yes position
Will Josh Turek win the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary by 30% or more?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.3%
- Current value
- $7.96
- Potential payout
- $52
- Potential profit
- $44.04
- Multiplier
- 6.54x
- User PnL
- $6.45
N
No position
Will Mike Collins win the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election by 10–15%?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.42
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.35
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.5
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.92
Yes position
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.38
Yes position
Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.95
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
Yes position
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.61
N
No position
Will the announcers say "Assist" during the Canada vs Qatar FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Douglas Lumsden win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Richard Gordon Thomson win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$27.15
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$29.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the announcers say "Comeback / Come Back" during the Germany vs Ivory Coast FIFA World Cup Match?No 25% 6 shares
- Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Germany vs Ivory Coast FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 25% 6 shares
- Will Graham Platner win between 70% and 75% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary?No 5.1% 29 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi NakamotoSomething 8% 19 shares
- Will the announcers say "Verizon" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 9% 17 shares
- Will the announcers say "Hat Trick" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?No 4% 38 shares
- Will Carmel Sepuloni be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?Yes 2.5% 60 shares
- Will another outcome occur in the NY-13 Democratic Primary?Yes 5% 30 shares
- Will another outcome occur in the NY-07 Democratic Primary?Yes 5% 30 shares
- Will Josh Turek win the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary by 30% or more?Yes 2.9% 52 shares
- Will "Football" or "Soccer" be in the headlines this week?No 20% 8 shares
- FaZe roster change Before GTA VI?No 16% 9 shares