Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $690.9
- Potential payout
- $1.47K
- Potential profit
- $779.1
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- -$195.47
Polymarket Trader
shiring
@shiringbreeze
0xe22d21b05a606237ff2b47ca8ff50aac28c479f2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $690.9
- Realized PnL
- $406.32
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $22.73
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.65
- Potential profit
- $10.65
- User PnL
- -$4.9
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.23
- Potential profit
- $3.23
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $275.57
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.06
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.88
Yes position
Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $143.03
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.8
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.9
No position
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.33
No position
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 83%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $4.18
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22
$4000 position
Will $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Yes position
Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 62%
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $1.85
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.3
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$26.1
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$373.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 87% 0.99 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?Yes 2.2% 900 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Yes 1.3% 111.02 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Yes 1.3% 900 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Yes 1.4% 120.11 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 15% 24.95 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes 28% 223.33 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes 28% 656.91 shares
- Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?Yes 7% 292.12 shares
- Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?Yes 8.1% 4,494.82 shares
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes 28% 800 shares
- Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch?Yes 54% 6.19 shares