Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $57.6
- Potential payout
- $90.71
- Potential profit
- $33.11
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $7.6
Polymarket Trader
0x9c24B1d1a6B5b40Bc4e6898812225A78d54415c5-1768611349350
0xe23046723d644f101cbeff50f9b6c6d3f3bcf440
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $324.21
- Realized PnL
- $16.55
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $50.28
- Potential payout
- $63.64
- Potential profit
- $13.36
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $20.67
- Potential payout
- $62.65
- Potential profit
- $41.97
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- $15.67
Anthropic position
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $56.77
- Potential payout
- $58.14
- Potential profit
- $1.37
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $6.77
No position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $21.98
- Potential payout
- $21.98
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.98
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $4.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $15.7
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $16.64
- Potential payout
- $16.86
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.64
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $15.15
- Potential payout
- $16.08
- Potential profit
- $0.92
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $13.89
- Potential payout
- $13.89
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.89
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $13.51
- Potential payout
- $13.51
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $8.51
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $12.82
- Potential payout
- $13.04
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.82
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.87
- Potential payout
- $10.87
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.87
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $8.12
- Potential payout
- $10.75
- Potential profit
- $2.63
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$1.88
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $9.98
- Potential payout
- $10.31
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.21
- Potential payout
- $10.21
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $0.38
- Potential payout
- $8.94
- Potential profit
- $8.56
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- -$3.82
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.56
- Potential profit
- $2.56
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $1.03
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.79
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.52
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.38
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 18% 54.9 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 87% 5.75 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?Yes 39% 2.56 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 37% 13.51 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 48.9% 63.82 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 47% 127.66 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 53% 15.81 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No 76% 12.98 shares
- Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?Yes 8% 62.65 shares
- Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?Yes 55.1% 90.71 shares
- Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?No 72% 13.89 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 93% 10.75 shares