No position
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.1%
- Current value
- $34.13K
- Potential payout
- $37.88K
- Potential profit
- $3.75K
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $5.01K
Polymarket Trader
BrightTiger
0xe2314b08a84feff5787d6a7b7984b7e334ef4e3e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $46.05K
- Realized PnL
- $53.48K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $9.98K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- $1.48K
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $994.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $5.5
- User PnL
- $54.5
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $953
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $47
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $83
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.11K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.35K
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.96K
Yes position
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.18K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.59K
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52K
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25K
No position
Hwang Kyo-ahn in jail by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91K
Yes position
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to at least 20 years in prison?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61K
Yes position
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56K
Yes position
Yoon arrested by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4K
Yes position
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 13?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
Yes position
Will LDP win the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?
Ends Jul 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
Yes position
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
No position
Park Sung-jae in jail by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $984.23
Yes position
Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of December 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $920.17
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $900
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $851.71
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $834.29
Yes position
Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $787.29
No position
Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $764.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?No 89.6% 22 shares
- Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?No 91.2% 39.5 shares
- Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?No 90% 5 shares
- Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?No 88.7% 164 shares
- Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?No 89.5% 9.99 shares
- Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?No 89.2% 341.38 shares
- Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?No 86.5% 47 shares
- Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes 0.1% 897.75 shares
- Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?Yes 0.2% 999.99 shares
- Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?Yes 80.8% 56 shares
- Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?Yes 99% 98 shares
- Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?No 91.2% 695 shares