Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $127.02K
- Potential payout
- $127.21K
- Potential profit
- $190.82
- User PnL
- $11.73K
Polymarket Trader
WW3-Monitor
0xe234959595e01dacd391a9502a6ad0edf4e3304a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $192.01K
- Realized PnL
- $5.99K
- Win rate
- 73.9%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $109.18K
- Potential profit
- $109.18K
- User PnL
- -$1.61K
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.6%
- Current value
- $6.31K
- Potential payout
- $43.38K
- Potential profit
- $37.07K
- Multiplier
- 6.87x
- User PnL
- $572.97
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $74.04
- Potential payout
- $29.61K
- Potential profit
- $29.54K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.48K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $25.09K
- Potential payout
- $25.1K
- Potential profit
- $12.55
- User PnL
- $173.44
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $400
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $19.6K
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.23K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $3.7K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $16.3K
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$222.62
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $7.65K
- Potential payout
- $16.82K
- Potential profit
- $9.17K
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $1.09K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.4%
- Current value
- $2.62K
- Potential payout
- $15.01K
- Potential profit
- $12.39K
- Multiplier
- 5.73x
- User PnL
- -$1.1K
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.98K
- Potential profit
- $12.98K
- User PnL
- -$723.39
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $25.76
- Potential payout
- $10.3K
- Potential profit
- $10.28K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.15
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$319
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $5.35K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $4.65K
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $41.46
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.43K
- Potential profit
- $6.43K
- User PnL
- -$234.9
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.3%
- Current value
- $969.27
- Potential payout
- $5.61K
- Potential profit
- $4.64K
- Multiplier
- 5.78x
- User PnL
- -$96.46
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$144.88
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $4.18K
- Potential payout
- $4.78K
- Potential profit
- $597.72
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$21.13
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $41.17
- Potential payout
- $4.57K
- Potential profit
- $4.53K
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$96.07
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $604.73
- Potential payout
- $4.03K
- Potential profit
- $3.43K
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$734.52
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $2.94K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $137.93
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3.47K
- Potential payout
- $3.47K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $356.4
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.37K
- Potential profit
- $3.37K
- User PnL
- -$1.08K
No position
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.74K
- Potential profit
- $2.74K
- User PnL
- -$13.68
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $1.56K
- Potential payout
- $1.56K
- Potential profit
- $3.9
- User PnL
- -$2.34
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.53K
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.24K
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $686.14
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $278.9
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $224.7
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.51
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.51
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.31
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.57
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.41
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- $10.48
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.9
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.01
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$222.01
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.2K
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.4K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.42K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.63K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 18% 4,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 18% 10,202 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No 99.4% 120 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No 98.7% 411.25 shares
- Will Elon Musk attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No 98.9% 455 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 45% 1,391.7 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 52.4% 4,000 shares
- Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?Yes 4.4% 462.55 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 53.2% 5,000 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 65% 2,000 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes 88.9% 4,526.38 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 0.2% 20,000 shares