No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.8%
- Current value
- $182.33
- Potential payout
- $838.31
- Potential profit
- $655.98
- Multiplier
- 4.60x
- User PnL
- -$21.38
Polymarket Trader
0xe23b...89a8
0xe23b703d455e08e60b363cbdb899f16418da89a8
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $827.19
- Realized PnL
- $51.36
- Win rate
- 55.6%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $27.4
- Potential payout
- $740.58
- Potential profit
- $713.18
- Multiplier
- 27.03x
- User PnL
- $3.7
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.3%
- Current value
- $544.47
- Potential payout
- $695.81
- Potential profit
- $151.34
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $66.45
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $72.32
- Potential payout
- $117.6
- Potential profit
- $45.28
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $5.29
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $0.66
- Potential payout
- $34.09
- Potential profit
- $33.43
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $208.35
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $27.08
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.61
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.66
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.34
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 87.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $3.18
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.41
No position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
No position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.59
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 88.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$1.36
No position
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$6.8
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 41.6%
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$10.77
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$13.18
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$22.72
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$29.93
Yes position
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$41.05
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$106.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 3.2% 740.58 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 24.3% 838.31 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 90% 113.03 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 84% 288.66 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 75.1% 998.72 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseNo 65% 338.13 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 72.7% 998.72 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 97.2% 81.47 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 97.4% 502.56 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 3% 5.15 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 75.5% 218.74 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 2.9% 568.08 shares