Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $11.33
- Potential payout
- $133.33
- Potential profit
- $122
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$8.67
Polymarket Trader
moi8
0xe245b10ff4d03332d630345a1c3affd0a45e22af
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $81.19
- Realized PnL
- $71.56
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.7%
- Current value
- $35.62
- Potential payout
- $112.36
- Potential profit
- $76.74
- Multiplier
- 3.15x
- User PnL
- $5.62
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $6.88
- Potential payout
- $59.82
- Potential profit
- $52.94
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$3.12
Yes position
Will Kim Dong-yeon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.29
- Potential profit
- $57.29
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $28.57
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.06
- Potential profit
- $28.06
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $6.47
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $16.25
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$3.53
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $13.11
- Potential payout
- $18.87
- Potential profit
- $5.76
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $3.11
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$5.55
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$6.14
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $6.55
- Potential payout
- $12.73
- Potential profit
- $6.17
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $0.19
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.81
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- -$2.71
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $7.35
- Potential profit
- $6.32
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$3.97
Yes position
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.6
- Potential profit
- $6.6
- User PnL
- -$4.94
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.58
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.38
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $4.43
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.88
No position
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.69
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.67
No position
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3
Yes position
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
No position
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Multiplier
- 40.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 44% 22.73 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 99.4% 12.5 shares
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?No 53% 18.87 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 16.7% 59.82 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 55% 9.09 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 34% 13.88 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 36% 13.89 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 64% 12.5 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 55% 12.73 shares
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 26.7% 56.18 shares
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 26.7% 56.18 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 66% 22.05 shares