No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.6
Polymarket Trader
harleyjaida1140
0xe24aa126e83860ae1d73cbc9c0f4ab475e929ccb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $7.14
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.06
No position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Will Mario Grech be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2025 National League Championship?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.6
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.06
No position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Will Mario Grech be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2025 National League Championship?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times May 9–16?
Ends May 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Solana dip to $80 in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Luís Montenegro be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?
Ends Jun 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League?
Ends May 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44%
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Charles Maung Bo be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the candidate from the New Reform Party win the South Korean Presidential Election
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer in the EPL?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 2.1% 72 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?No 80% 35 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 49% 48 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.5% 9 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.4% 9 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 4.2% 3 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No 81% 41 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No 81% 41 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 97.7% 10 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 55% 57 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 56% 57 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes 43% 8 shares