No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $87.76K
- Potential payout
- $96.97K
- Potential profit
- $9.21K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $7.76K
Polymarket Trader
yikaiz
0xe258c02a1ed5c159f3268cf7728ba5706f8bd084
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $91.05K
- Realized PnL
- -$2.3K
- Win rate
- 22.2%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $1.64K
- Potential payout
- $7.28K
- Potential profit
- $5.64K
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$996.24
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.42K
- Potential payout
- $1.42K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $617.48
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $231.06
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $869.23
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$148.94
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $364.7
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $342.95
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$42.08
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.5% and 6.0%?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$307.38
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$341.33
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$537.39
No position
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$541.83
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.14K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?Yes 35.5% 563.01 shares
- Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?No 37.9% 790.84 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 82.5% 96,973.72 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 89.2% 89,239.53 shares
- Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?Yes 34.8% 230.09 shares
- Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?No 36.8% 1,210.13 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 89% 500 shares
- Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?No 36.3% 1,243.77 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 89% 500 shares
- Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?No 34.6% 1,463.24 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 89% 560 shares
- Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?No 37.5% 966.53 shares