Polymarket Trader

Rurik5

0xe25c28438f4f51bf12efed21efd45f33d8cfae63

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $12.17K
Realized PnL: $22.69K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 14.2%
Current value: $1.28K
Potential payout: $9K
Potential profit: $7.72K
Multiplier: 7.02x
User PnL: -$3.22K

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 85.8%
Current value: $7.72K
Potential payout: $9K
Potential profit: $1.28K
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $3.22K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $509.37
Potential payout: $2.08K
Potential profit: $1.57K
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$16.54

Yes position

Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $101.26
Potential payout: $2.01K
Potential profit: $1.9K
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $9.62

Yes position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 7.9%
Current value: $158.38
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.85K
Multiplier: 12.66x
User PnL: $88.42

Yes position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $370
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.63K
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$44

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $319.99
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.68K
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$62.94

Yes position

Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $116.32
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.56K
Multiplier: 14.39x
User PnL: $6.22

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $903.68
Potential payout: $1.63K
Potential profit: $724.57
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $303.49

Yes position

Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $326.16
Potential payout: $1.48K
Potential profit: $1.16K
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$17.54

Yes position

Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $146.35
Potential payout: $1.46K
Potential profit: $1.32K
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$14.73

Yes position

Will Jack Draper win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $10.17
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $1.06K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$6.06

Yes position

Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $12.27
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $1.05K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.54

Yes position

Will Holger Rune win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.52
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$4.53

Yes position

Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $9.45
Potential payout: $699.99
Potential profit: $690.54
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$5.25

Yes position

Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $12.42
Potential payout: $671.44
Potential profit: $659.02
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$3.7

Yes position

Will Victoria Mboko win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $10.38
Potential payout: $669.59
Potential profit: $659.21
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$1.76

Yes position

Will Iga Swiatek win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $72.18
Potential payout: $627.61
Potential profit: $555.44
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$30.33

Yes position

Will Elina Svitolina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $12.93
Potential payout: $562.33
Potential profit: $549.4
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $34.61
Potential payout: $549.29
Potential profit: $514.68
Multiplier: 15.87x
User PnL: $15.25

Yes position

Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $11.57
Potential payout: $540.69
Potential profit: $529.12
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Rosen Zhelyazkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $2.41
Potential payout: $534.94
Potential profit: $532.54
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$32.99

Yes position

Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $18.54
Potential payout: $452.26
Potential profit: $433.71
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: $6.78

Yes position

Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $7.2
Potential payout: $320.09
Potential profit: $312.89
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $2.16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?

Ends Jun 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.96K

Yes position

Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.4K

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.32K

Yes position

Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.61K

No position

Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28K

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?

Ends Jun 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $955.28

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $928.56

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $897.27

Yes position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $859.79

Yes position

Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $762.7

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $697.08

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Monte Carlo Masters?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $676

No position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?

Ends Jun 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $612

Yes position

Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $605.56

Yes position

Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $602.59

Yes position

Will Usyk vs. Fury have no official winner?

Ends Dec 21, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $597.84

Yes position

Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $573.67

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $566.55

Yes position

Will Usyk beat Fury?

Ends Dec 21, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $534.24

Yes position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $533.36

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $491.53

Yes position

Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $445.67

Yes position

Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $409.95

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 26?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $381.67

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Yes 8.7% 200 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 37.6% 100 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.9% 100 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.7% 100 shares
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Yes 5.9% 93.47 shares
Will Jessica Pegula be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Yes 17.2% 108.12 shares
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Yes 12.6% 900 shares
Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Yes 6.9% 388.48 shares
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Yes 9.7% 500 shares
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Yes 13% 300 shares
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Yes 14% 369 shares
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Yes 14.2% 600 shares