Polymarket Trader

0x492452EaB586F242ss333dffvvvvvbeerr4

0xe25cdab15bc7a740ce1258b31f46e26831767908

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.29K
Realized PnL: $14.6K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.26K
Potential profit: $2.26K
User PnL: -$1.73K

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.76K
Potential profit: $1.76K
User PnL: -$776.79

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$564.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or below on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $1.36K
User PnL: -$21.36

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $1.12K
User PnL: -$1.01K

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.05K
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $0.53
User PnL: $208.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$214.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $969.6
Potential profit: $969.6
User PnL: -$832.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $897.62
Potential profit: $897.62
User PnL: -$405.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $715.3
Potential profit: $715.3
User PnL: -$559.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $603.61
Potential profit: $603.61
User PnL: -$441.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C or below on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $566.84
Potential profit: $566.84
User PnL: -$5.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $494.73
Potential profit: $494.73
User PnL: -$310.42

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on April 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $479.56
Potential profit: $479.56
User PnL: -$228.78

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $407.52
Potential payout: $407.72
Potential profit: $0.2
User PnL: $37.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $388.62
Potential profit: $388.62
User PnL: -$116.24

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $378.1
Potential profit: $378.1
User PnL: -$135.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or below on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $362.83
Potential profit: $362.83
User PnL: -$101.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $353.62
Potential profit: $353.62
User PnL: -$203.78

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or below on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $263.51
Potential payout: $323.37
Potential profit: $59.86
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $2.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $302.97
Potential payout: $318.92
Potential profit: $15.95
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $11.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$27

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $262.48
Potential payout: $262.61
Potential profit: $0.13
User PnL: $32.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or below on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $257.48
Potential profit: $257.48
User PnL: -$2.53

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14K

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2K

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1K

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $935.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $665

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $655.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $621.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $600.86

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $556.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $510.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $497.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $491.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $481.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or below on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $447

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $442.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $432.47

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $420.47

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $382.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $378.14

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $360.23

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $352.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $317.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $309.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $304.18

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 17?

No 50.8% 50 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 17?

No 46% 55 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 17?

No 47.4% 31.18 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 17?

No 47.6% 18 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 17?

No 49.7% 48 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 17?

No 52.9% 18.93 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 17?

No 54.5% 18.73 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 17?

No 60% 40 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 17?

No 61% 65 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 17?

No 60% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 17?

No 56.7% 51 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 17?

No 55% 8 shares