No position
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 41%
- Current value
- $84.05
- Potential payout
- $205
- Potential profit
- $120.95
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- -$15.95
Polymarket Trader
derm0rx
0xe25ed4763c2099b6bff403286e3929d2cad13f31
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $540.32
- Realized PnL
- $515.52
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $91.67
- Potential payout
- $151.52
- Potential profit
- $59.85
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$8.33
No position
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $114.69
- Potential payout
- $150.91
- Potential profit
- $36.22
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $14.69
No position
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $121.41
- Potential payout
- $146.27
- Potential profit
- $24.87
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $21.41
No position
X banned in any European country by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $91.42
- Potential payout
- $116.46
- Potential profit
- $25.04
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $41.42
No position
Will Ricardo Ruiz Velasco be arrested in 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $37.08
- Potential payout
- $72.71
- Potential profit
- $35.63
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- $2.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.67
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.91
No position
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.67
Yes position
US strike on Syria by December 31?
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.63
No position
Another EU country restricts U.S. military aircraft by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.49
No position
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.89
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.52
No position
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.21
No position
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.7
Yes position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.98
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.12
No position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.04
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.36
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.95
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.93
No position
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.71
No position
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 14?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.99
No position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.2
No position
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- -$4.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?No 48.8% 205 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No 6% 80.76 shares
- Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?No 43.1% 99.67 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No 26% 80.77 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?Yes 36% 61.9 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?Yes 42% 61.9 shares
- Will Ricardo Ruiz Velasco be arrested in 2026?No 48.1% 72.71 shares
- Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?No 68.4% 146.27 shares
- Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?No 58% 164.99 shares
- Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?No 60.6% 165 shares
- Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?No 66.3% 150.91 shares
- Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?No 23.4% 42.7 shares