Polymarket Trader

fmcgksd

0xe26034a9965e6ec521af82b4963a348628d2b2f6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $168.82
Realized PnL: $1.25K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 86.4%
Current value: $168.82
Potential payout: $195.51
Potential profit: $26.69
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$17.69

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $141.6
Potential profit: $141.6
User PnL: -$111.86

Yes position

Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.07
Potential profit: $32.07
User PnL: -$24.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Eagles position

Eagles vs. Bills

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.52

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.45

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.22

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.7

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.29

No position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.83

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.4

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.05

No position

Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-01-11?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.28

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.45

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.14

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.11

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92

No position

No airdrop in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.74

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.86

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

No position

Will Ethereum reach $3200 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

No position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Yes 96.5% 127.26 shares
No airdrop in 2025?

No 84.9% 11.82 shares
Eagles vs. Bills

Eagles 46% 2,076.09 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Yes 93% 105.71 shares
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?

No 97.6% 22.26 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September?

No 97.8% 29.22 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $85K in September?

No 99.6% 16.57 shares
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?

No 98.7% 65.08 shares
Will Elon tweet 420–434 times August 1–August 8?

No 99.8% 64.23 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?

No 97% 64.09 shares
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?

No 95% 62.17 shares
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?

No 99.4% 11.95 shares