Kott

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.1K
Potential profit: $312.1K
User PnL: -$690.37

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.92K
Potential profit: $2.92K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.33K
Potential profit: $2.33K
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $43.28
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $269.22
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$6.72

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $154.57
Potential profit: $154.57
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.97
Potential profit: $142.97
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $19.95
Potential payout: $101.01
Potential profit: $81.06
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.53
Potential profit: $91.53
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.53
Potential profit: $73.53
User PnL: -$5

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $48.29
Potential payout: $68.49
Potential profit: $20.21
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$1.71

Yes position

Will Resni.ca (Res) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.56
Potential profit: $57.56
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$5

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.9
Potential profit: $33.9
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.61
Potential profit: $30.61
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$5

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.59
Potential profit: $26.59
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Freedom Movement (GS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.15
Potential profit: $25.15
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $22.73
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $20.89
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $1.33
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.89

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $3.79
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $4.54
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$1.21

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $381.78

Yes position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $70.95

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.19

No position

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.97

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $19.07

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.94

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.89

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.78

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.67

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.52

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9

Blues position

Blues vs. Avalanche

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

No position

Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.63

Yes position

Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET