Polymarket Trader

0xe2887ACAe84e627BBe3B3ADc82c1c06A60fdc224-1766234839526

0xe2887acae84e627bbe3b3adc82c1c06a60fdc224

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $274.11
Realized PnL: $636.9
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $250.47
Potential payout: $4.47K
Potential profit: $4.22K
Multiplier: 17.86x
User PnL: -$507.06

Yes position

Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.44K
Potential profit: $1.44K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $833.33
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $625
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $555.56
Potential profit: $555.56
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $526.32
Potential profit: $526.32
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $359.45
Potential profit: $359.45
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $4.68
Potential payout: $322.58
Potential profit: $317.9
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$5.32

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $265.88
Potential profit: $265.88
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$5.75

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $11.05
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $118.95
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$9.75

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $7.92
Potential payout: $119.05
Potential profit: $111.13
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$2.08

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 5?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $117.65
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.29
Potential profit: $89.29
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $783

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Multiplier: 4.56x
User PnL: $40.72

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.25

Yes position

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.09

No position

US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.3

No position

Will Iran strike Bahrain in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Iran strike UAE in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.5%
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$3.15

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$48.57

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$190.29

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?

Yes 6.9% 499.99 shares
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?

Yes 19.9% 9.74 shares
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?

Yes 18% 85.57 shares
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

Yes 3.1% 322.58 shares
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.7% 1,441.99 shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 20.6% 147.77 shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 21.1% 3,596.36 shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 20% 3,744.13 shares
Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 2.8% 359.44 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.4% 119.05 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.9% 526.32 shares
Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 1.1% 3,457.27 shares