No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $163.2
- Potential payout
- $640
- Potential profit
- $476.8
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$48
Polymarket Trader
0xe28d...0274
0xe28d57094f4ddcb34f35962a2ce13d9f82f20274
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $644.78
- Realized PnL
- $387.18
- Win rate
- 88.9%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $213
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $387
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $21
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $210
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $190
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $14
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$195
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $13
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $187
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$99
No position
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $45.59
- Potential payout
- $52.7
- Potential profit
- $7.11
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $10.59
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $209.92
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $79.24
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.6
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.08
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.7%
- Multiplier
- 2.97x
- User PnL
- $14.2
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.4
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.7
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $80 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$18.96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 33% 640 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 63.9% 620 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No 75% 85.79 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No 76% 3.67 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 30% 620 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No 65% 25 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?Yes 56% 200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 49% 8 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 23% 50 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No 42% 240 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 38.8% 15 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?Yes 79% 40 shares