Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $2.7
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $597.3
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Polymarket Trader
HoldAndWin
0xe2a0d8abc7c0f0c067d9a6fda551c53b9fbe4230
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $79.7
- Realized PnL
- $3.11K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.6%
- Current value
- $70.2
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $329.8
- Multiplier
- 5.70x
- User PnL
- $53.4
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $395
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.2
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.8
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $398.2
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $278.09
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.9
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.15
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.6
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.08
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.04
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.35
Yes position
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.04
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.78
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.97
Yes position
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.8
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.45
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.18
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.5
No position
Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $82.8
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.8% 125 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 2?Yes 8.9% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Yes 73.5% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Yes 10.6% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 1?Yes 85% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 31?Yes 1.8% 54 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 31?Yes 28% 49 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 31?Yes 21% 50 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?Yes 84% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?Yes 13.5% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?No 10% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 30?Yes 0.3% 200 shares