Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 27.7%
- Current value
- $55.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $144.7
- Multiplier
- 3.62x
- User PnL
- $12.47
Polymarket Trader
temptrader
0xe2a6ed8d13e6a68cf0c0598cc20b05308367446c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $231.73
- Realized PnL
- $501.69
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Current value
- $111.36
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $8.64
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $6.96
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $5.6
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $64.4
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$17.8
No position
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $59.48
- Potential payout
- $65
- Potential profit
- $5.52
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $6.18
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$19.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.49
Yes position
Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11AM ET
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.58
Yes position
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
Yes position
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
Yes position
Iran Strike on Israel by December 31?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.06
No position
Will Elon Musk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.68
Suns position
Pacers vs. Suns
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.79
Up position
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 23?
Ends Oct 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.73
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1PM ET
Ends Nov 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8PM ET
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.5
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.26
Yes position
Will Claude 5 not be released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9PM ET
Ends Nov 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.41
No position
Will Taylor Swift rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 7PM ET
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 7PM ET
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 4AM ET
Ends Nov 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.5
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.24
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9PM ET
Ends Nov 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?No 87% 120 shares
- Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?No 82% 15 shares
- Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?No 82% 50 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 89% 20 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?Yes 76% 100 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 21.4% 200 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No 96.2% 40 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No 84% 50 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?No 91% 50 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes 61.4% 80 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 66% 100 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No 85% 50 shares