Polymarket Trader

0xe2bd...eab2

0xe2bdd38c1077a31d56056ea24b46f482e394eab2

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $266.34
Realized PnL: -$21.42
Win rate: 25%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $23.8
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $376.2
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $23.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $176.5
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $87.18
Potential payout: $149.02
Potential profit: $61.84
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $9.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 23.1%
Current value: $27.32
Potential payout: $118.53
Potential profit: $91.21
Multiplier: 4.34x
User PnL: $5.13

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.7%
Current value: $32.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $67.35
Multiplier: 3.06x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $57.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $42.5
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $9.5

Yes position

Will Argentina be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $13.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $36.75
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $49.75
Potential profit: $49.72
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $39.99
Potential profit: $39.95
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$16.64

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $5.78
Potential profit: $4.7
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: $0.08

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.16

Over position

Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.82

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.8%
Multiplier: 6.35x
User PnL: $1.7

No position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $1.5

Over position

Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.95

Under position

Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Under position

New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Tunisia vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in First Half

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

New Zealand vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First Half

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

New Zealand position

Spread: Belgium (-1.5)

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.72

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Yes 26% 50 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.9% 200 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 8?

Yes 48.8% 10 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6% 100 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

No 27% 50 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.6% 100 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14.3% 100 shares
Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 48% 100 shares
Fed rate hike in 2026?

No 52% 100 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 8?

Yes 12.1% 49.75 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 27% 50 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 7?

Yes 27% 18.5 shares