No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $7.49K
- Potential payout
- $14.83K
- Potential profit
- $7.34K
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$2.59K
Polymarket Trader
0xe2cb...6e8f
0xe2cbf5c728f9bd2a5d561cd350c5f04128ca6e8f
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $10.34K
- Realized PnL
- $12.07K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.83K
- Potential profit
- $1.83K
- User PnL
- -$170.4
No position
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.52K
- Potential profit
- $1.52K
- User PnL
- -$615.6
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $395.68
- Potential payout
- $909.61
- Potential profit
- $513.93
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$304.32
No position
Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $819.73
- Potential profit
- $819.73
- User PnL
- -$61.3
No position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $669.81
- Potential payout
- $740.12
- Potential profit
- $70.31
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $69.81
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $235.53
- Potential payout
- $692.74
- Potential profit
- $457.21
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$114.47
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $644.46
- Potential payout
- $654.6
- Potential profit
- $10.15
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $44.46
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $588.24
- Potential profit
- $588.24
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $438.62
- Potential profit
- $438.62
- User PnL
- -$162.29
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $330.47
- Potential profit
- $330.47
- User PnL
- -$300
No position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $184.15
- Potential payout
- $265.01
- Potential profit
- $80.85
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$15.85
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $228.66
- Potential payout
- $241.84
- Potential profit
- $13.18
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $28.66
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $64.78
- Potential payout
- $235.56
- Potential profit
- $170.78
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$41.22
No position
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $228.08
- Potential profit
- $228.08
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $169.9
- Potential payout
- $204.82
- Potential profit
- $34.92
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$16.1
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $7.67
- Potential payout
- $204.59
- Potential profit
- $196.92
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- -$41.33
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $196.08
- Potential profit
- $196.08
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $137.01
- Potential profit
- $137.01
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Kuwait send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $95.38
- Potential payout
- $107.23
- Potential profit
- $11.85
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$4.62
No position
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $92.11
- Potential payout
- $105.26
- Potential profit
- $13.16
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$7.89
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.3%
- Current value
- $62.71
- Potential payout
- $69.45
- Potential profit
- $6.74
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $12.71
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.77K
No position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $788.52
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $618.68
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $605.74
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $576.02
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $571.98
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $533.4
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $456.99
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $451.91
No position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $446.12
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $419.04
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $385.79
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $371.88
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $315.56
No position
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $315.52
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $304.69
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $283.48
Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $282.28
Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280.88
No position
Thailand strikes Cambodia by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280.79
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $269.7
No position
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $257.77
Yes position
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $244.92
No position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $239.76
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 45% 88.89 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 46% 86.96 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 55% 181.82 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 54% 370.37 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 99.9% 367.09 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 54% 92.59 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 54% 185.19 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 54% 185.19 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 54.9% 182.09 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 45% 222.22 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 62% 322.58 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?Yes 99.2% 212.13 shares