N
No position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $10.28
- Potential payout
- $231.03
- Potential profit
- $220.75
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- -$194.87
Polymarket Trader
egsgsg
0xe2eaf5c460fbca5122ccea86e90c5f25c4ef1386
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.28
- Realized PnL
- $47.68
- Win rate
- 73.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.29
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.02
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.44
No position
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.34
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.57
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.81
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 88.8% 231.03 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 88% 205.75 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No 87% 179.18 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?No 96.4% 155.89 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 96.5% 37.11 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?No 92% 105.49 shares
- Epstein suicide note released by May 31?No 98.4% 98.65 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 83.5% 37.11 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 98.5% 30.99 shares
- Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?Yes 97.5% 89.9 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 97.6% 14.78 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 96.9% 30.99 shares