Yes position
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.9
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Polymarket Trader
senseless17
0xe2eedd8c3b0668dc19757c314ea41dfaa5c760b8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $269.26
- Realized PnL
- $669.23
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $1.57
- Potential payout
- $116.67
- Potential profit
- $115.09
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$22.42
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.3%
- Current value
- $15.12
- Potential payout
- $93.02
- Potential profit
- $77.91
- Multiplier
- 6.15x
- User PnL
- $7.12
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $1.37
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $81.96
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $23.46
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $53.46
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $3.46
No position
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.09
- Potential profit
- $76.09
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Yes position
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.67
- Potential payout
- $70.42
- Potential profit
- $69.75
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$4.33
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $55.55
- Potential payout
- $65.73
- Potential profit
- $10.19
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $21.55
No position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.35
- Potential profit
- $65.35
- User PnL
- -$28.67
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.2
- Potential profit
- $65.2
- User PnL
- -$10.43
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.3%
- Current value
- $8.23
- Potential payout
- $62.11
- Potential profit
- $53.88
- Multiplier
- 7.55x
- User PnL
- -$1.77
No position
Iran closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.34
- Potential profit
- $53.34
- User PnL
- -$37
No position
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $39.21
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $13.42
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $9.21
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $2.99
- Potential payout
- $51.94
- Potential profit
- $48.95
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$22.37
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $23.3
- Potential payout
- $51.2
- Potential profit
- $27.9
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$10.7
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $20.65
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $22.83
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.85
- Potential profit
- $42.85
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.63
- Potential profit
- $40.63
- User PnL
- -$16
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $23.8
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $16.2
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.74
- Potential profit
- $37.74
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $4.63
- Potential payout
- $37.04
- Potential profit
- $32.41
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.37
No position
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $26.65
- Potential payout
- $35.78
- Potential profit
- $9.12
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $14.65
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $21.96
- Potential payout
- $34.04
- Potential profit
- $12.09
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $5.96
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.48
- Potential profit
- $33.48
- User PnL
- -$16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.17
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.5
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.28
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.46
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.78
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.89
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.45
No position
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.37
No position
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.63
Yes position
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.46
Yes position
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.22
Eagles position
Eagles vs. Packers
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.82
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.63
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.56
Yes position
Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.29
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.25
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.23
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.11
Yes position
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.93
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.67
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.08
Yes position
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.24
No position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.77
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?Yes 23% 17.39 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 46% 43.48 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 26% 76.92 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?No 84% 11.9 shares
- Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?No 62% 8.06 shares
- Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?Yes 23% 21.74 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?Yes 89% 5.62 shares
- Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 52m?Yes 62% 16.13 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 18.6% 26.9 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 68% 22.06 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 47% 34.04 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No 98.9% 15.22 shares